Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol1 - 3River Plate
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 0-3 Defensa
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | River Plate |
48.76% ( -0.67) | 27.55% ( 0.05) | 23.69% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 43.47% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.03% ( 0.27) | 60.96% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.03% ( 0.2) | 80.97% ( -0.2) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( -0.2) | 25.19% ( 0.2) |