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FC Cincinnati
US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 7, 2023 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Vazquez (56'), Barreal (71'), Arias (90+2')
Nwobodo (11'), Murphy (29'), Badji (35'), Acosta (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Showunmi (90+4')
Biasi (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's US Open Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and Pittsburgh Riverhounds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Cincy are not nearly as susceptible along the back end as the Revs or Columbus, and like Pittsburgh, they have won their share of close 1-0 games throughout the campaign. Expect the Hounds to try and swarm the Orange and Blue with numerous players behind the ball, it is just difficult to envision the visitors creating much against such a deep squad like Cincinnati, let alone keep them off the scoresheet for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pittsburgh Riverhounds had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
52.81% (1.282 1.28) 25.29% (0.168 0.17) 21.9% (-1.453 -1.45)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-2.188 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-2.013 -2.01)54.58% (2.009 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-1.697 -1.7)75.93% (1.694 1.69)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)20.68% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.438 -0.44)53.27% (0.434 0.43)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (-2.539 -2.54)40.01% (2.535 2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34% (-2.407 -2.41)76.66% (2.404 2.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.79%
    Pittsburgh Riverhounds 21.9%
    Draw 25.28%
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.88 0.88)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.612 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.627 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

FC Cincinnati
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
9.1%
11
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for FC Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham197842825329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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