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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Chicago Fire

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Acosta (83')
Miazga (54'), Barreal (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Souquet (38'), Shaqiri (67'), Haile-Selassie (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire do have the ability to cause their hosts problems on Saturday, having hit three goals in two of their last three outings, but we anticipate them being too vulnerable defensively and not having enough to take a result against the MLS' form side. Now full of confidence on the back of five consecutive league wins, Pat Noonan's men will back themselves to again come out on top on home turf.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
56.44% (-1.423 -1.42) 23.18% (0.395 0.4) 20.39% (1.027 1.03)
Both teams to score 51.77% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.296 -0.3)47.96% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.273 -0.27)70.14% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)16.79% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.078 -1.08)46.75% (1.077 1.08)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.92 0.92)37.78% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.882 0.88)74.56% (-0.884 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 56.43%
    Chicago Fire 20.39%
    Draw 23.17%
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 56.43%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Jun 24, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bills
@
Dolphins
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami27185462402259
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati27163848361251
3Columbus Crew26147552282449
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls28101354435943
5New York City FCNY City27116104036439
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2710893129238
7Orlando City27107104241137
8Toronto28103153650-1433
9DC United2888124356-1332
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2787123638-231
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2779114743430
12New England RevolutionNew England2683153051-2127
13CF MontrealMontreal2769123558-2327
14Chicago Fire2868143450-1626
15Nashville SCNashville2768132644-1826

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy28157653381552
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles26146648321648
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake27138653361747
4Colorado RapidsColorado2713595345844
5Seattle SoundersSeattle2812794132943
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2612684435942
7Houston DynamoHouston2711883731641
8Portland TimbersPortland2711795546940
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd27106114445-136
10Dallas2897124445-134
11Austin FCAustin2797113038-834
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2877144553-828
13St Louis City28513104053-1328
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2752203463-2917


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