Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.