Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.