World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 30, 2022 at 10.05pm UK
Panama3 - 2Jamaica
We said: Panama 3-1 Jamaica
Panama usually fare well in home fixtures, and after beating Jamaica 3-0 in the reverse fixture, we think that they will prevail to claim their third consecutive home victory in qualifying. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Jamaica |
| 42.21% | 26.17% | 31.62% |
| Both teams to score 52.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
