World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 6pm UK
Saudi Arabia3 - 2China
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for China had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | China |
| 40.51% | 23.06% | 36.43% |
| Both teams to score 64.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
