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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Wales national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Finals
Jun 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Ukraine national football team

Wales
1 - 0
Ukraine

Yarmolenko (34' og.)
Allen (3'), James (3'), Page (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mykolenko (32'), Mudryk (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Wales and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Ukraine

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Ukraine vs. Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League

We said: Wales 1-2 Ukraine (A.E.T)

 Not a single side has managed to get the better of Ukraine during qualification for the 2022 World Cup, and we do not anticipate that streak ending here, even when taking into account the raft of top Welsh players who will break out of the cotton wool for this game. Scotland had no answer to the visitors' attacking flair in midweek, and while Page's refreshed side will expect to hold out for 90 minutes, a steadfast Ukraine outfit can harness all of their resilience to clinch one of the final spots at the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.

Result
WalesDrawUkraine
38.31% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 29.38% (-0.012 -0.01) 32.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.49% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04)63.35% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.28% (0.029 0.03)82.71% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.02 0.02)68.47% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (0.036000000000001 0.04)36.03% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (0.035999999999998 0.04)72.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wales 38.3%
    Ukraine 32.3%
    Draw 29.38%
WalesDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 11.77%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Wales vs Ukraine

Wales
35.1%
Draw
14.7%
Ukraine
50.3%
348
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2016 7pm
Ukraine
1-0
Wales
Yarmolenko (28')
Garmash (22'), Khacheridi (38'), Fedetskiy (50')

Richards (77')
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