Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hansa Rostock in this match.