Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
