Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
