Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.