DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 13, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Elversberg4 - 2St Pauli
FT(HT: 2-1)
Knoll (7'), Benatelli (78')
Ohlsson (47'), Dittgen (57'), Tashchi (59')
Ohlsson (47'), Dittgen (57'), Tashchi (59')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Elversberg and St Pauli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elversberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 52.97% | 21.65% | 25.38% |
| Both teams to score 63.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
