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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2023 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Brisbane Roar

Victory
0 - 1
Brisbane Roar


Marchan (72'), Cadete (78'), Nani (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Shea (73')
Hingert (23'), Armiento (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Victory
Saturday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne Victory 1-1 Brisbane Roar

 Victory will be thankful just to stop the losing run as they slip further towards the bottom, and the empty stadium means home advantage may be lost. Brisbane have been the draw specialists, and in another close-looking encounter, it is hard to see past yet another 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
39.15% (0.1 0.1) 25.63% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 35.22% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.76% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (0.051000000000002 0.05)24.47% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (0.071000000000005 0.07)58.92% (-0.073 -0.07)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)26.66% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)61.91% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 39.15%
    Brisbane Roar 35.22%
    Draw 25.63%
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.15%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: Victory vs Brisbane Roar

Melbourne Victory
42.5%
Draw
30.0%
Brisbane Roar
27.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Victory

Trewin (15')
Apr 25, 2022 5.05am
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Victory
Parsons (54')
Parsons (44'), Akbari (47'), O'Shea (90')
Hamill (68')
Ikonomidis (32'), Brillante (84')
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
Victory
0-0
Brisbane Roar

Marchan (44'), Broxham (83')

Olsen (32'), Holmes (87')
Nov 28, 2021 5.05am
Victory
3-0
Brisbane Roar
Trewin (28' og.), D'Agostino (32'), Folami (50')
Brillante (15'), Broxham (78'), Brimmer (81')

O'Shea (24'), Brown (83'), Daley (90')
Feb 6, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
5-2
Victory
Wenzel-Halls (9'), McDonald (14', 35'), Danzaki (17', 49')
Brown (45+3'), Gillesphey (83')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (19'), Brimmer (45+5')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (33'), Broxham (43'), Shotton (79'), Kirdar (86')
rhs 2.0
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