Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.