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Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 9, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Adelaide United

O'Shea (90+4' pen.)
Courtney-Perkins (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blackwood (72')
Barr (36'), Alagich (79'), Sanchez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Sunday, November 6 at 4am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Victory
Friday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United

 We can envisage both teams being a little rusty after the break for the World Cup, with both managers likely to settle for avoiding defeat upon their return. As such, it would be no surprise to see a share of the spoils be the ultimate outcome in Brisbane on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
35.58% (-0.657 -0.66) 25.22% (0.112 0.11) 39.2% (0.546 0.55)
Both teams to score 56.86% (-0.46700000000001 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24% (-0.573 -0.57)46.76% (0.575 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.537 -0.54)69.02% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)25.57% (0.641 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (-0.878 -0.88)60.44% (0.88 0.88)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.028999999999996 0.03)23.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 35.58%
    Adelaide United 39.2%
    Draw 25.22%
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.58%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.2%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
20.0%
Draw
37.5%
Adelaide United
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
Adelaide United
2-0
Brisbane Roar
Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Adelaide United
Mileusnic (2')
Daley (40')
Goodwin (24' pen., 85'), Mauk (48' pen.)
Toure (29'), Sanchez (55'), Mauk (69')
Dec 4, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Adelaide United

Daley (19'), Mlinaric (60'), Steinmann (89'), O'Shea (90+3')

Lopez (45'), Caletti (48'), Mauk (60')
Lopez (90+5')
Jun 13, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Adelaide United
Parsons (56')
Aldred (67')
Juric (15', 19')
D'Arrigo (68')
May 16, 2021 9.10am
Adelaide United
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Goodwin (23')
Caletti (14'), Halloran (79'), Yengi (90')

Neville (90')
rhs 2.0
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