Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.