Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
51.81% (![]() | 19.44% (![]() | 28.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 75.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.61% (![]() | 21.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.95% (![]() | 40.04% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.88% (![]() | 9.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.04% (![]() | 30.95% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% (![]() | 16.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.05% (![]() | 46.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.86% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.81% | 2-2 @ 6.98% (![]() 1-1 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 1.05% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 5.83% (![]() 2-3 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.86% Total : 28.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |