Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
51.81% ( 0.15) | 19.44% ( -0.04) | 28.74% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 75.52% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.61% ( 0.11) | 21.39% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.95% ( 0.15) | 40.04% ( -0.15) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.88% ( 0.07) | 9.12% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.04% ( 0.17) | 30.95% ( -0.17) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% ( 0) | 16.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.05% ( 0) | 46.95% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.81% | 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.05% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 28.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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