Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.63%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
40.67% ( -0.37) | 22.44% ( 0.01) | 36.88% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 67.47% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.94% ( -0) | 33.06% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.21% ( -0.01) | 54.79% ( 0) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% ( -0.15) | 17.04% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.81% ( -0.27) | 47.19% ( 0.26) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( 0.16) | 18.67% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% ( 0.27) | 50.01% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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