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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 26, 2024 at 10.55am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
3 - 4
Adelaide United

Hore (3', 83'), Waddingham (78')
Brownlie (59'), Aldred (73'), Hore (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibusuki (39', 47'), Mauk (64'), Van Der Saag (74')
Irankunda (21'), Van Der Saag (33'), Mauk (73')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 3-3 Adelaide United
Tuesday, April 16 at 10am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.32%) and 3-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
42.96% (-0.116 -0.12) 21.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 72.96% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.06% (0.044999999999987 0.04)25.93% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.87% (0.061 0.06)46.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)13.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.9% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)40.1% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (0.067999999999998 0.07)15.86% (-0.074 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93% (0.128 0.13)45.07% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 42.96%
    Adelaide United 36%
    Draw 21.04%
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 42.96%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 3.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.47% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.38% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 36%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Adelaide United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 4am
Gameweek 7
Adelaide United
0-2
Brisbane Roar

Ibusuki (90')
Lofthouse (48'), O'Shea (54' pen.)
Lofthouse (60')
Feb 4, 2023 8.45am
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Adelaide United
2-0
Brisbane Roar
Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
Gameweek 11
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Adelaide United
Mileusnic (2')
Daley (40')
Goodwin (24' pen., 85'), Mauk (48' pen.)
Toure (29'), Sanchez (55'), Mauk (69')
rhs 2.0
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