Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
37.94% (![]() | 24.31% (![]() | 37.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.66% (![]() | 42.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.26% (![]() | 64.75% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% (![]() | 22.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% (![]() | 55.73% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% (![]() | 22.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.13% (![]() | 55.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.41% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 11.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 45 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 35 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 25 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 21 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 51 | -36 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |