Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
33.47% (![]() | 23.38% (![]() | 43.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.02% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% (![]() | 38.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.18% (![]() | 60.82% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% (![]() | 22.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% (![]() | 56.65% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% (![]() | 18.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.69% (![]() | 49.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.73% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.47% | 1-1 @ 10.48% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.91% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |