Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
43.03% ( -0.39) | 22.14% ( 0.08) | 34.82% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 68.22% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.08% ( -0.31) | 31.92% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.53% ( -0.36) | 53.47% ( 0.37) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.35% ( -0.27) | 15.65% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.32% ( -0.5) | 44.67% ( 0.5) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0.01) | 19.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( 0.01) | 50.76% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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