Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
43.03% (![]() | 22.14% (![]() | 34.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.08% (![]() | 31.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.53% (![]() | 53.47% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.35% (![]() | 15.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.32% (![]() | 44.67% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% (![]() | 19.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% (![]() | 50.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 9.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.59% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |