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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 at 12am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Wellington
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Kraev (2')
Ball (43')
Rufer (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hore (73'), Aldred (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, March 16 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
43.45% (0.251 0.25) 22.71% (0.106 0.11) 33.84% (-0.357 -0.36)
Both teams to score 65.67% (-0.533 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.89% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)35.11% (0.648 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.89% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)57.11% (0.726 0.73)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.161 -0.16)16.77% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.29 -0.29)46.71% (0.291 0.29)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-0.486 -0.49)21.1% (0.487 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (-0.761 -0.76)53.93% (0.762 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 43.45%
    Brisbane Roar 33.84%
    Draw 22.71%
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 43.45%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 33.84%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Wellington
Brown (90+4')
Nikolovski (59'), Zabala (90+1')
Kraev (51')
Pennington (64'), Kraev (89')
Nov 4, 2023 4.30am
Gameweek 3
Wellington
5-2
Brisbane Roar
Payne (24'), Zawada (32', 63', 90+2'), Kraev (58')
Kraev (33'), Zawada (80')
Berenguer (1'), Mileusnic (53')
Apr 16, 2023 4am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
2-2
Brisbane Roar
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 6am
Gameweek 12
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Wellington
Zawada (65')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 22
Brisbane Roar
0-3
Wellington

Ivanovic (17'), Mlinaric (45+1'), O'Shea (72')
Neville (28' og.), Waine (48'), Old (57')
rhs 2.0
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