Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
43.45% (![]() | 22.71% (![]() | 33.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.89% (![]() | 35.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.89% (![]() | 57.11% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.23% (![]() | 16.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.29% (![]() | 46.71% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% (![]() | 21.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% (![]() | 53.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.78% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 33.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |