Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Apr 20, 2024 at 8.30am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
0 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Ikonomidis (82')
Geria (51')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
53.54% ( -0.7)	21.21% ( 0.2)	25.24% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 65.12% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.7% (

-0.46)

33.3% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.93% (

-0.52)

55.07% (

0.52)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

-0.36)

12.68% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.14% (

-0.74)

38.86% (

0.74)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

0.11)

25.42% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.76% (

0.16)

60.23% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 53.54%

Brisbane Roar 25.24%

Draw 21.21%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 53.54%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.24%