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Adelaide United
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Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 6, 2022 at 6am UK
Whitten Oval
Adelaide United

Western Utd
2 - 4
Adelaide United

Milanovic (53'), Pierias (90+1')
Young (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ibusuki (9'), Goodwin (22'), Lacroix (31' og.), Halloran (79')
D'Arrigo (45'), Juande (76'), Halloran (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 7.15am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 30 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
35.11% (0.132 0.13) 24.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 40.07% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.21% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (-0.11 -0.11)45% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (-0.106 -0.11)67.35% (0.107 0.11)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.01% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (0.033999999999999 0.03)59.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.127 -0.13)22.38% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.19 -0.19)55.89% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Western United 35.11%
    Adelaide United 40.07%
    Draw 24.82%
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.07%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 9.20am
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')
Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')
Dec 17, 2021 8.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Adelaide United
Pain (44')
Topor-Stanley (25'), Risdon (49'), Lacroix (53')

Juande (24'), Tratt (62'), Sanchez (65')
Apr 30, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
0-0
Western Utd

D'Arrigo (16'), Halloran (32'), Goodwin (41'), Elsey (83'), Toure (84'), Toure (90')
Toure (90+4')

Sanchez (15'), Durante (90')
Sanchez (36')
Dec 28, 2020 8.05am
Western Utd
0-0
Adelaide United

Sanchez (37'), Diamanti (45+2'), Wales (56'), Calver (64'), A (65'), Lustica (90+2')

Smith (20'), Elsey (24'), Caletti (57')
Mar 7, 2020 6am
Adelaide United
1-5
Western Utd
McGree (25')
Berisha (18', 56'), Diamanti (32'), Burgess (38'), Pain (48')
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