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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 16, 2022 at 5am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Adelaide United

Macarthur
2 - 0
Adelaide United

Arzani (27'), Rose (57')
Arzani (28'), Skotadis (45'), Noone (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodwin (30'), Blackwood (45+4'), Kitto (59'), Van Der Saag (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-0 Macarthur
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 9 at 3am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawAdelaide United
34.41% (0.137 0.14) 24.33% (0.148 0.15) 41.26% (-0.287 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.81% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.16% (-0.664 -0.66)42.83% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.76% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)65.23% (0.658 0.66)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.233 -0.23)24.39% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.329 -0.33)58.81% (0.326 0.33)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)20.88% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41% (-0.651 -0.65)53.59% (0.648 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 34.41%
    Adelaide United 41.26%
    Draw 24.32%
MacarthurDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.161 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.41%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 41.26%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 10.45am
Adelaide United
1-0
Macarthur
Ibusuki (45+1')
Brook (56'), Ibusuki (81')

Uskok (87'), (87')
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
4-1
Adelaide United
Giannou (43'), Noone (67'), Toure (73'), Ruhs (90+1')
Susnjar (28'), Noone (31'), McGing (75')
Goodwin (20')
Goodwin (46'), Caletti (72')
Apr 14, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
3-1
Macarthur
Juric (15'), Goodwin (72' pen.), Halloran (81')
Halloran (43'), Juande (65')
Derbyshire (33')
Rose (70'), Popovic (88')
Feb 12, 2021 8.05am
Macarthur
4-0
Adelaide United
Derbyshire (66', 73', 90'), Milligan (83')

Halloran (3'), Mauk (58')
rhs 2.0
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