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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 1, 2023 at 7am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Central Coast
4 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Tulio (15'), Nisbet (17'), Holmes (30' og.), Cummings (58' pen.)
Triantis (5'), Farrell (71'), Kaltack (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
O'Shea (82' pen.)
Brindell-South (39'), Courtney-Perkins (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Central Coast
Sunday, March 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 1-0 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar have made a decent start under Green, although both matches they have won came at the Kayo Stadium, losing the two matches they have played on their travels, against Macarthur and Melbourne City. As such, we expect Central Coast to get their push for the top two back on track with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawBrisbane Roar
50.81% (-1.167 -1.17) 22.83% (0.316 0.32) 26.35% (0.847 0.85)
Both teams to score 60.32% (-0.27 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (-0.733 -0.73)40.09% (0.728 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54% (-0.76 -0.76)62.46% (0.757 0.76)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.67099999999999 -0.67)15.94% (0.666 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79% (-1.241 -1.24)45.21% (1.238 1.24)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.246 0.25)28.23% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.311 0.31)63.94% (-0.315 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 50.81%
    Brisbane Roar 26.35%
    Draw 22.83%
Central Coast MarinersDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.15 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.162 0.16)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 26.35%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 8.45am
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Central Coast
O'Shea (23' pen.)
Neville (80'), Akbari (90+3')
Tulio (19'), N'Kololo (69' pen.)
Balard (50'), Cummings (82'), N'Kololo (90')
May 3, 2022 10.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Central Coast

Neville (86')
Miller (40'), Kuol (63')
Farrell (41'), Goddard (44'), Steele (88')
Mar 5, 2022 6.05am
Central Coast
2-1
Brisbane Roar
N'Kololo (49'), Muller (55')
Cummings (34'), N'Kololo (76'), Birighitti (86')
Lescano (69')
Brown (80'), Mlinaric (86')
May 12, 2021 10.05am
Apr 28, 2021 10.05am
Central Coast
0-4
Brisbane Roar

Stensness (29'), Tongyik (67')
Urena (62')
Gillesphey (19'), Champness (56'), Parsons (89'), Kudo (90+3')
Akbari (44'), Brindell-South (64')
rhs 2.0
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