We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory have been strong at home this season, and that should lead to them providing a stern test on Saturday.
However, the visitors are one of the strongest teams in the A-League right now, and they should be able to just edge this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.