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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Feb 18, 2023 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Perth Glory
2 - 2
Central Coast

Khelifi (16', 51' pen.)
Beevers (4'), Clisby (60'), Koutroumbis (74'), Muir (76'), Elsey (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cummings (74' pen., 81' pen.)
McGarry (43'), Kaltack (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-4 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 11 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, February 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Central Coast Mariners

Perth Glory have been strong at home this season, and that should lead to them providing a stern test on Saturday. However, the visitors are one of the strongest teams in the A-League right now, and they should be able to just edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
32.24% (-0.818 -0.82) 24.41% (-0.155 -0.15) 43.35% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14% (0.432 0.43)43.85% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (0.421 0.42)66.24% (-0.428 -0.43)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.291 -0.29)26.16% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-0.387 -0.39)61.24% (0.382 0.38)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.616 0.62)20.36% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (0.976 0.98)52.77% (-0.984 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 32.24%
    Central Coast Mariners 43.35%
    Draw 24.4%
Perth GloryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.24%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
0-1 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.8% (0.141 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.091 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.079 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.35%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Central Coast

Perth Glory
42.9%
Draw
23.8%
Central Coast Mariners
33.3%
21
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 7am
Mar 15, 2022 11.05am
Feb 13, 2022 6.45am
Central Coast
1-1
Perth Glory
Cummings (58')
Bozanic (8')
Stynes (90+3')
Oxborrow (14'), Burke-Gilroy (49'), Calver (75'), O'Neill (90+1')
Mar 14, 2021 5.35am
Central Coast
2-2
Perth Glory
Urena (25'), Simon (90+1' pen.)
Clisby (33'), Simon (69')
Fornaroli (41'), D'Agostino (76')
Ingham (16'), Lachman (69'), Kilkenny (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 10.20am
rhs 2.0
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