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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Macarthur
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 6, 2022 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Macarthur

Wellington
4 - 1
Macarthur

Old (45+3'), Lewis (65'), Waine (67'), Kraev (75')
Elliot (61'), Waine (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rose (59')
Uskok (39'), Noone (45+1'), De Silva (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Wellington
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, October 29 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
34.72% (1.106 1.11) 24.47% (0.125 0.13) 40.8% (-1.237 -1.24)
Both teams to score 59.36% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (-0.323 -0.32)43.46% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.317 -0.32)65.85% (0.312 0.31)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.485 0.48)24.51% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.678 0.68)58.97% (-0.683 -0.68)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)21.37% (0.708 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (-1.108 -1.11)54.34% (1.105 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 34.72%
    Macarthur 40.8%
    Draw 24.47%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.133 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.8%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 5.05am
Wellington
3-1
Macarthur
Piscopo (12' pen.), Sotirio (71', 78')
Sutton (90+3')
Davila (58')
Rose (50'), Mutch (61'), Najjar (73')
Nov 21, 2021 7.45am
Macarthur
1-1
Wellington
Rose (61')
Uskok (41'), Rose (67')
Hooper (25' pen.)
Rufer (34'), Payne (84'), Ball (88')
Jun 4, 2021 10.05am
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington

M'Mombwa (36'), Martis (61'), Najjar (78'), Susnjar (90+6')
Puyo (58')
Ball (45+1'), Hemed (46'), Waine (90+2')
Lewis (62'), Rufer (80')
Mar 28, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
0-1
Macarthur

Hemed (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Genreau (65')
Jovanovic (48'), Martis (90+2')
Jan 9, 2021 6.05am
Macarthur
1-1
Wellington
Susaeta (67')
Meredith (29'), Milligan (38'), Genreau (86')
Ball (39')
DeVere (54'), Ball (74'), Devlin (83')
Rufer (62')
rhs 2.0
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