Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
22.24% (![]() | 23.26% (![]() | 54.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% (![]() | 46.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% (![]() | 68.38% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% (![]() | 34.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% (![]() | 71.63% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% (![]() | 16.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.24% (![]() | 46.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
1-0 @ 6.17% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 22.24% | 1-1 @ 11.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 10.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |