Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
56.22% (![]() | 20.51% (![]() | 23.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.96% (![]() | 32.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.39% (![]() | 53.61% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% (![]() | 11.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.63% (![]() | 36.37% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% (![]() | 26.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% (![]() | 61.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.44% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 8.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 5.85% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |