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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Melbourne City

Wellington
1 - 0
Melbourne City

Kraev (48')
Kraev (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Good (68')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 1-3 (5.96%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne City
29.61% (-0.113 -0.11) 21.71% (0.131 0.13) 48.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 67.26% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.85% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)32.15% (0.732 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.27% (-0.854 -0.85)53.73% (0.858 0.86)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)22% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69% (-0.659 -0.66)55.31% (0.663 0.66)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (-0.268 -0.27)13.77% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.92% (-0.539 -0.54)41.08% (0.541 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 29.61%
    Melbourne City 48.68%
    Draw 21.71%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.59% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.47% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.61%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.03% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.28% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 4.51% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 48.68%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 7am
Gameweek 23
Melbourne City
4-1
Wellington
MacLaren (34', 52'), Tilio (57', 83')
Ugarkovic (49')
Jan 2, 2023 2am
Gameweek 10
Wellington
1-3
Melbourne City
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')
Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')
May 9, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 21
Melbourne City
2-1
Wellington
Sutton (3' og.), MacLaren (10')
Nabbout (30'), Tilio (54'), MacLaren (56'), Jenkinson (83')
Waine (54')
Piscopo (81'), Waine (90+2')
Apr 2, 2022 6.35am
Gameweek 17
Wellington
0-6
Melbourne City
Surman (17' og.), Leckie (50'), Nabbout (59'), Good (68'), Tilio (76', 81')
rhs 2.0
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