Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.