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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Feb 12, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Docklands Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Victory
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
40.84%24.98%34.17%
Both teams to score 57.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07%45.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77%68.23%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.93%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01%25.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99%61.01%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 40.84%
    Newcastle Jets 34.17%
    Draw 24.97%
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.78%
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-1 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 6.05am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Thurgate (66'), Abimanyu (90+3')
Butterfield (63'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (81'), Lauton (90+1')
Feb 21, 2021 5.05am
Gameweek 9
Victory
0-1
Newcastle Jets

Roux (29')
Thurgate (72')
Boogaard (41'), Thurgate (56'), Millar (86')
Feb 22, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 20
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Victory
Toivonen (49')
Toivonen (60'), Lesiotis (90')
Jan 5, 2020 7.30am
Gameweek 13
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Kruse (9'), Basha (61'), Nabbout (64'), Millar (86' og.)

Burns (24')
Mar 2, 2019 8.50am
rhs 2.0
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