Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
