Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
39.06% (![]() | 24.64% (![]() | 36.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.97% (![]() | 44.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.59% (![]() | 66.41% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% (![]() | 22.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44% (![]() | 56% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% (![]() | 23.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% (![]() | 58.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 8.57% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.06% | 1-1 @ 11.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |