Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.