Australian A-League | 2nd Leg

May 21, 2022 at 8.15am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
1 - 4
Western Utd

(Western United win 4-2 on aggregate)

Brimmer (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Western United had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
54.16% ( 0.17)	22.97% ( -0.06)	22.87% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

0.15)

44.1% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

0.14)

66.48% (

-0.14)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

0.11)

16.21% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.29% (

0.2)

45.71% (

-0.2)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.78% (

-0.02)

33.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.17% (

-0.02)

69.83% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 54.16%

Western United 22.87%

Draw 22.96%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.87%