Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
28.67% ( -0.33) | 24.89% ( 0.32) | 46.44% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( -1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( -1.57) | 47.68% ( 1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( -1.46) | 69.88% ( 1.47) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% ( -1.04) | 30.47% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% ( -1.25) | 66.68% ( 1.25) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.41% ( -0.63) | 20.58% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( -1.01) | 53.12% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.67% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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