Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
28.67% (![]() | 24.89% (![]() | 46.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% (![]() | 47.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% (![]() | 69.88% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% (![]() | 30.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% (![]() | 66.68% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.41% (![]() | 20.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% (![]() | 53.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 7.45% (![]() 2-1 @ 7% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.67% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |