We said: Western United 1-1 Melbourne Victory
After stumbling into the new campaign, Western United appear to have hit their stride in recent weeks and will head into Monday looking to make it three wins from four matches. However, Melbourne Victory have been defensively resolute this season and we predict that they will cancel out the efforts of the hosts to hold out for a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.