Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 19.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.