Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 30, 2024 at 6.30am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
0 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Jeggo (22'), Antonis (65'), Natel (75')

Timmins (33'), Ingham (45'), Grozos (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydney
Tuesday, March 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United
Friday, March 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 19.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Newcastle Jets
61.34% ( 0.3)	18.74% ( -0.12)	19.92% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 66.94% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.15% (

0.29)

27.85% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.44% (

0.37)

48.56% (

-0.36)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.03% (

0.16)

8.96% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.41% (

0.37)

30.58% (

-0.36)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

0.02)

26.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35% (

0.03)

61.64% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 61.34%

Newcastle Jets 19.92%

Draw 18.74%

Melbourne City	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.48% Total : 61.34%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.74%	1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 19.92%