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Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2023 at 8am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

le Fondre (29'), Wood (63')
Donachie (74'), Wood (78'), Kucharski (86')
Kucharski (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Sydney FC
Monday, April 24 at 10am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Central Coast
Saturday, April 22 at 8am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets have got the most to play for when it comes to this match, but even though that is the case it is likely going to be Sydney FC who come out on top with their quality being too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.

Result
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
57.86% (0.243 0.24) 21.02% (-0.13 -0.13) 21.13% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.27% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.73% (0.47 0.47)37.27% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.53% (0.506 0.51)59.48% (-0.504 -0.5)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.28% (0.224 0.22)12.72% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.06% (0.46 0.46)38.94% (-0.458 -0.46)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.166 0.17)30.95% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.195 0.2)67.25% (-0.193 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 57.86%
    Newcastle Jets 21.13%
    Draw 21.02%
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.015999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Newcastle Jets
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 4am
gameweek 10
Newcastle Jets
0-2
Sydney FC
Le Fondre (37'), Mak (41')
Caceres (79')
Mar 25, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 20
Newcastle Jets
2-0
Sydney FC
Goodwin (41', 43')
Arques Blasco (35'), Mauragis (40'), Elsey (84')

Wilkinson (37'), Retre (60')
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
gameweek 3
Sydney FC
2-2
Newcastle Jets
Le Fondre (9' pen.), Kamsoba (30')
Retre (39'), Warland (65'), Grant (71'), Wood (80')
Yuel (58', 65')
Duncan (8')
May 8, 2021 8.05am
gameweek 26
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Sydney FC
O'Donovan (59' pen.)
O'Doherty (46'), Jackson (70')
Boogaard (76' og.)
Baumjohann (77')
Mar 14, 2021 7.40am
rhs 2.0
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