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Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 19, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC
4 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Wood (40'), Lolley (66'), Burgess (76', 79')
Girdwood-Reich (19'), Lacerda (33'), Brattan (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 13 at 9am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.62% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
60.33% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 19.04% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 20.62% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 67.01% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.74% (-0.13 -0.13)28.26% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.93% (-0.162 -0.16)49.06% (0.16 0.16)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)9.31% (0.0611 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.58% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)31.42% (0.147 0.15)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)26.11% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)61.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 60.33%
    Newcastle Jets 20.62%
    Draw 19.04%
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 4.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 60.33%
1-1 @ 7.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 2.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.04%
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 20.62%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Jan 1, 2023 4am
Mar 25, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Newcastle Jets
2-0
Sydney FC
Goodwin (41', 43')
Arques Blasco (35'), Mauragis (40'), Elsey (84')

Wilkinson (37'), Retre (60')
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
Gameweek 3
Sydney FC
2-2
Newcastle Jets
Le Fondre (9' pen.), Kamsoba (30')
Retre (39'), Warland (65'), Grant (71'), Wood (80')
Yuel (58', 65')
Duncan (8')
May 8, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 26
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Sydney FC
O'Donovan (59' pen.)
O'Doherty (46'), Jackson (70')
Boogaard (76' og.)
Baumjohann (77')
rhs 2.0
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