Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.62% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.