Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.