Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
29.95% ( 0.24) | 24.88% ( 0.16) | 45.17% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% ( -0.59) | 46.96% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.79% ( -0.55) | 69.21% ( 0.55) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( -0.13) | 29.2% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( -0.16) | 65.14% ( 0.16) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( -0.42) | 20.84% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% ( -0.66) | 53.53% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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