Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
May 16, 2021 at 7.05am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City2 - 2Wellington
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 68.15% | 17.12% | 14.73% |
| Both teams to score 61.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
