Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

May 16, 2021 at 7.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
2 - 2
Wellington

Tsubaki (58'), MacLaren (81')
O'Neill (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hemed (37' pen., 88')
Lewis (79'), Hemed (89'), McGarry (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
68.15%	17.12%	14.73%

Both teams to score 61.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.38%

29.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.26%

50.74%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02%

7.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.84%

28.16%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02%

32.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44%

69.56%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 68.15%

Wellington Phoenix 14.73%

Draw 17.12%

Melbourne City	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 7.87% 3-0 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 6.65% 4-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 4.36% 4-2 @ 2.76% 5-1 @ 2.51% 5-0 @ 2.27% 5-2 @ 1.4% 6-1 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 1.02% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.01% Total : 68.15%	1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.12%	1-2 @ 4.09% 0-1 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.67% Total : 14.73%