Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
37.6% ( 0.63) | 21.27% ( 0.2) | 41.13% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 72.3% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.12% ( -0.93) | 26.88% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.66% ( -1.19) | 47.34% ( 1.19) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.37% ( -0.16) | 15.63% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.35% ( -0.3) | 44.65% ( 0.3) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( -0.67) | 14.3% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.88% ( -1.33) | 42.12% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.91% Total : 37.6% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.12) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.67% Total : 41.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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