Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
39.61% (![]() | 23.93% (![]() | 36.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% (![]() | 40.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% (![]() | 62.99% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% (![]() | 20.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% (![]() | 53.3% (![]() |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.59% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 10.9% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |