Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.