Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
39.61% ( -0.04) | 23.93% ( 0.05) | 36.45% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% ( -0.24) | 40.6% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% ( -0.24) | 62.99% ( 0.24) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( -0.12) | 20.7% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% ( -0.19) | 53.3% ( 0.19) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% ( -0.11) | 22.26% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( -0.17) | 55.7% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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