Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
49.36% ( -0.12) | 21.18% ( -0) | 29.46% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 69.21% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.43% ( 0.11) | 29.56% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.33% ( 0.13) | 50.66% ( -0.14) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.37% ( 0) | 12.63% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.24% ( 0.01) | 38.75% ( -0.01) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( 0.13) | 20.78% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( 0.2) | 53.43% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 18 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
8 | Macarthur | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 8 |
9 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 2 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 1 |
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