MX23RW : Friday, November 22 21:16:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 23, 2023 at 4.30am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Wellington
2 - 0
Western Sydney

Barbarouses (90+1'), Old (90+4')
Rufer (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Milanovic (75')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Wellington
Monday, December 18 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Adelaide United
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
31.19% (0.921 0.92) 21.95% (0.396 0.4) 46.86% (-1.312 -1.31)
Both teams to score 67.36% (-0.953 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.58% (-1.465 -1.47)32.42% (1.47 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.94% (-1.721 -1.72)54.06% (1.725 1.73)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)21.23% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (-0.331 -0.33)54.14% (0.335 0.34)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.97699999999999 -0.98)14.48% (0.98 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (-1.922 -1.92)42.46% (1.927 1.93)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 31.19%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 46.86%
    Draw 21.95%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.221 0.22)
1-0 @ 4.77% (0.339 0.34)
2-0 @ 3.69% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.344 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.237 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.29% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.259 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.73% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-3 @ 4.44% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 46.86%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 5am
Apr 21, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Western Sydney
4-0
Wellington
Borrello (9'), Nieuwenhof (31'), Simmons (65'), Yengi (87')
Dec 10, 2022 6am
May 5, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 16
Western Sydney
1-2
Wellington
Hemed (29')
Baccus (24'), Troisi (42')
Sutton (3'), Piscopo (65')
Pennington (11'), Sail (89')
Apr 24, 2022 4.05am
Gameweek 25
Wellington
1-0
Western Sydney
Pennington (38'), Sotirio (66')
Baccus (13'), Najjarine (45+1'), Hemed (77')
rhs 2.0
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