Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.