Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.