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Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2023 at 8am UK
Coopers Stadium
Melbourne City

Adelaide United
6 - 0
Melbourne City

Irankunda (14'), Talbot (29' og.), Tunnicliffe (75'), Toure (81'), Oliveira (88', 90+4')
Sanchez (18'), Madanha (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Behich (49'), Natel (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Central Coast
Friday, October 20 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne City
27.39% (0.984 0.98) 21.72% (0.532 0.53) 50.89% (-1.515 -1.52)
Both teams to score 65.41% (-1.075 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.17% (-1.785 -1.79)33.83% (1.786 1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (-2.056 -2.06)55.67% (2.057 2.06)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)24.23% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.411 -0.41)58.58% (0.412 0.41)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33% (-1.083 -1.08)13.67% (1.083 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.13% (-2.203 -2.2)40.87% (2.203 2.2)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 27.39%
    Melbourne City 50.89%
    Draw 21.72%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.388 0.39)
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.39%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.416 0.42)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.299 0.3)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.347 0.35)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.17% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 4.37% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.35% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-4 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 50.89%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Adelaide United
4-2
Melbourne City
Barr (45+3'), Goodwin (50'), D'Arrigo (57'), Irankunda (85')
Nabbout (9'), Tilio (62')
Jan 29, 2023 4am
Gameweek 14
Melbourne City
3-3
Adelaide United
Lam (12'), Leckie (52'), MacLaren (90+2' pen.)
Blackwood (1'), Kitto (17'), Goodwin (43')
May 22, 2022 5.05am
Melbourne City
2-1
Adelaide United
Nabbout (17'), Leckie (34'), Tilio (105')
Yengi (7'), Juande (80'), Oliveira (116')
May 18, 2022 10.05am
Feb 15, 2022 8.55am
Gameweek 24
Melbourne City
1-2
Adelaide United
MacLaren (11')
Reis (90+4')
Lopez (20'), Toure (85')
Oliveira (10'), Juande (17'), Mauk (42'), Barr (67')
rhs 2.0
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