AFC Champions League | Preliminary Round
Mar 8, 2022 at 8.30am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
Sydney FC5 - 0Kaya
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Preliminary Round clash between Sydney FC and Kaya.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Last Game: Sydney FC 5-0 Kaya
Tuesday, March 8 at 8.30am in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, March 8 at 8.30am in AFC Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Team | Goals against | Avg per game | Clean Sheets | |
| 1 | Perth Glory | 3 | 0.75 | 1 |
| 2 | Western Utd | 4 | 0.67 | 4 |
| 3 | Central Coast | 4 | 0.80 | 2 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 5 | 0.83 | 3 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1.00 | 2 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 6 | 1.20 | 1 |
| 8 | Western Sydney | 6 | 1.20 | 2 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 6 | 1.50 | 1 |
| 10 | Victory | 7 | 1.17 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 8 | 1.60 | 1 |
| 12 | Wellington | 10 | 2.00 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Kaya win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Kaya |
| 49.76% | 24.2% | 26.04% |
| Both teams to score 55.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
