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Africa Cup of Nations
Equatorial Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Tunisia national football team

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Tunisia

Nsue (85' pen.)
Akapo (48'), Ganet (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chikhaoui (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Equatorial Guinea and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, March 28 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Tunisia

 Tunisia have enjoyed an impressive qualifying campaign and will be playing for pride, having already secured qualification. Equatorial Guinea, meanwhile, can book their spot in Ivory Coast with a draw this weekend and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 37.81%. A draw had a probability of 33.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 28.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (6.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.77%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawTunisia
28.64% (-0.638 -0.64) 33.55% (0.168 0.17) 37.81% (0.467 0.47)
Both teams to score 33.16% (-0.5 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
25% (-0.473 -0.47)75% (0.47099999999999 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.73% (-0.273 -0.27)90.27% (0.271 0.27)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (-0.844 -0.84)45.79% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (-0.667 -0.67)81.56% (0.66600000000001 0.67)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.028999999999996 0.03)38.82% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (0.026999999999997 0.03)75.55% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 28.64%
    Tunisia 37.81%
    Draw 33.54%
Equatorial GuineaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 13.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 28.64%
0-0 @ 17.77% (0.31 0.31)
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 33.54%
0-1 @ 16.82% (0.31 0.31)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.81%

How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Tunisia

Equatorial Guinea
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Tunisia
70.0%
20
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
4-0
Eq Guinea
Sliti (56'), Jaziri (77'), Msakni (80', 85')
Mejbri (32'), Yassine Khenissi (73'), Sassi (75')

Owono (45'), Lopez Elo (58')
Lopez Elo (71')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2021 4pm
Second Round
Eq Guinea
1-0
Tunisia
Ganet (84')
Siafa (35'), Coco (45+2'), Anieboh (46')

Sassi (29'), Kechrida (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Tunisia
3-0
Eq Guinea
Bronn (54'), Skhiri (78'), Khazri (82' pen.)
Bronn (5'), Sassi (69'), Mathlouthi (86')

Asumu Obama Ondo (4'), Alberto Meseguer Villanueva (32'), Buyla (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2015 7.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Tunisia
1-2
Eq Guinea
Akaichi (70')
Ragued (9'), Yacoubi (63'), Akaichi (66'), Chermiti (86')
Balboa (93' pen., 102')
Salvador (96')
> Match Report
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