Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 4pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Tunisia

Nsue (85' pen.)
Akapo (48'), Ganet (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chikhaoui (40')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Equatorial Guinea and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, March 28 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Tunisia

Tunisia have enjoyed an impressive qualifying campaign and will be playing for pride, having already secured qualification. Equatorial Guinea, meanwhile, can book their spot in Ivory Coast with a draw this weekend and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 37.81%. A draw had a probability of 33.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 28.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (6.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.77%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Tunisia
28.64% ( -0.64)	33.55% ( 0.17)	37.81% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 33.16% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

25% (

-0.47)

75% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.73% (

-0.27)

90.27% (

0.27)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

-0.84)

45.79% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44% (

-0.67)

81.56% (

0.67)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.18% (

0.03)

38.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44% (

0.03)

75.55% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 28.64%

Tunisia 37.81%

Draw 33.54%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.64%	0-0 @ 17.77% ( 0.31) 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 33.54%	0-1 @ 16.82% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.81%